Increasing temperature forcing reduces the Greenland Ice Sheet???s response time scale, Climate Dynamics, vol.297, issue.3, pp.2001-2011, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.1126/science.1072708
A route to more tractable expert advice (2016) Sea-level projections accounting for deeply uncertain icesheet contributions, Nature Nat Sci Rep (in review, vol.463, issue.7279, pp.294-295, 2010. ,
An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets, Nature Climate Change, vol.369, issue.4, pp.424-427, 1778. ,
DOI : 10.1098/rsta.2010.0291
A commentary on ???how to interpret expert judgment assessments of twenty-first century sea-level rise??? by Hylke de Vries and Roderik SW van de Wal, Climatic Change, vol.430, issue.7, pp.321-328, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.1038/nature02771
Aided and unaided decisions with imprecise probabilities in the domain of losses, EURO Journal on Decision Processes, vol.82, issue.10, pp.31-62, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1007/s10584-007-9246-3
Sea level change Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp.1137-1216, 2013. ,
Recent Progress in Understanding and Projecting Regional and Global Mean Sea Level Change, Current Climate Change Reports, vol.4, issue.11, pp.224-246, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.1038/climate.2010.30
URL : https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs40641-015-0024-4.pdf
Experts in uncertainty; opinion and subjective probability in science. Environmental ethics and science policy series, 1991. ,
TU Delft expert judgment data base, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, vol.93, issue.5, pp.657-674, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.005
How to interpret expert judgment assessments of 21st century sea-level rise, Climatic Change, vol.107, issue.28, pp.87-100, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.1073/pnas.0908906107
Response to commentary by J. L. Bamber, W. P. Aspinall and R. M. Cooke (2016), Climatic Change, vol.6, issue.5, pp.329-332, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.1038/nclimate2959
Constructing scenarios of regional sea level change using global temperature pathways, Environmental Research Letters, vol.9, issue.11, pp.1748-9326, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/115007
Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.75, issue.4, pp.643-669, 1961. ,
DOI : 10.2307/1884324
URL : http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=AD0646719&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf
Combining interval forecasts. Working paper, DSC, vol.58, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1287/deca.2016.0340
Comment on ???Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300???, by Horton et??al. (2014), Quaternary Science Reviews, vol.97, pp.193-194, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.05.024
AR5 sea level rise uncertainty communication failure, pp.2015-2027, 2014. ,
Sea level rise projections for northern Europe under RCP8.5, Climate Research, vol.64, issue.1, pp.15-23, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.3354/cr01309
OpenMORDM: an open source framework for many-objective robust decision making, Environ Model Softw, vol.74, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.07.014
URL : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.07.014
Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision Making and Info-Gap Methods, Risk Analysis, vol.9, issue.3, pp.1657-1672, 2012. ,
DOI : 10.1023/A:1008894516817
How Should Robustness Be Defined for Water Systems Planning under Change?, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, vol.141, issue.10, pp.1943-5452, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000509
Median Aggregation of Distribution Functions, Decision Analysis, vol.10, issue.4, pp.279-291, 2013. ,
DOI : 10.1287/deca.2013.0282
Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300, Quaternary Science Reviews, vol.84, 2014. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.11.002
Keeping prediction in perspective, Nature Reports Climate Change, vol.11, issue.0911, pp.126-127, 2009. ,
DOI : 10.1038/climate.2009.110
URL : http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/resource-2790-2009.51.pdf
Climate change assessments: review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low-lying delta?the Netherlands as an example, Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences Clim Chang, vol.109, pp.3-4617, 2010. ,
When is it appropriate to combine expert judgments?, Climatic Change, vol.33, issue.2, pp.139-143, 1996. ,
DOI : 10.1007/BF00140244
Managing the risks of climate thresholds: uncertainties and information needs, Climatic Change, vol.4, issue.1, pp.5-10, 2008. ,
DOI : 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol18-No1-1
A stronger IPCC report Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites Temperature-driven global sea-level variability in the Common Era, Science Earth's Future Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Climatic Change, vol.342, issue.140, pp.383-406, 2013. ,
Managing the Risk of Uncertain Threshold Responses: Comparison of Robust, Optimum, and Precautionary Approaches, Risk Analysis, vol.39, issue.6, pp.1009-1026, 2007. ,
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-4899-3472-7
When we don't know the costs or the benefits: Adaptive strategies for abating climate change, Climatic Change, vol.350, issue.15, pp.235-274, 1996. ,
DOI : 10.1007/BF00140248
Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol.116, issue.D24, pp.2597-2602, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.1029/2008GL033365
URL : http://www.pnas.org/content/113/10/2597.full.pdf
Semiempirical and process-based global sea level projections, Reviews of Geophysics, vol.45, issue.5579, pp.484-522, 2013. ,
DOI : 10.3189/172756407782282543
URL : http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/rog.20015/pdf
Subjective judgments by climate experts doi:10.1021/es00010a753 Nicholls RJ, Cazenave A (2010) Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones, Environ Sci Technol Science, vol.29, issue.3285985, pp.468-476, 1995. ,
The Limits of Consensus, Science, vol.17, issue.5601, pp.1505-1506, 2007. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.10.002
Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change, Nature Climate Change, vol.3, issue.5, pp.445-451, 2016. ,
DOI : 10.1193/021913EQS037M
Aggregating multiple probability intervals to improve calibration, Judgment Decis Mak, vol.10, issue.2, pp.130-143, 2015. ,
A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties, Earth System Dynamics, vol.4, issue.1, pp.11-29, 2013. ,
DOI : 10.5194/esd-4-11-2013-supplement
URL : http://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-11-2013
Potential Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat driven by hydrofracturing and ice cliff failure, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, vol.412, pp.112-121, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.1016/j.epsl.2014.12.035
URL : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2014.12.035
AR5 sea level rise uncertainty communication failure. http://www.realclimate.org/index. php/archives/2013/10/sea-level-in-the-5th-ipcc-report, pp.2015-2027, 2013. ,
Addressing ???deep??? uncertainty over long-term climate in major infrastructure projects: four innovations of the Thames Estuary 2100 Project, EURO Journal on Decision Processes, vol.164, issue.5, pp.233-262, 2013. ,
DOI : 10.1680/cien.2011.164.3.129
Many-objective robust decision making for managing an ecosystem with a deeply uncertain threshold response, Ecology and Society, vol.20, issue.3, pp.12-22, 2015. ,
DOI : 10.5751/ES-07687-200312
Towards regional projections of twenty-first century sea-level change based on IPCC SRES scenarios, Climate Dynamics, vol.13, issue.1, pp.1191-1209, 2012. ,
DOI : 10.1007/s003820050200
Modelling sea level rise impacts on storm surges along US coasts, Environmental Research Letters, vol.7, issue.1, pp.1748-9326, 2012. ,
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014032
URL : http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014032/pdf
KNMI'14: climate change scenarios for the 21st century?a Netherlands perspective, pp.2016-2021, 2014. ,
The code and data to reproduce the results are available from the corresponding author upon request. A repository is available at: https://github.com/scrim-network/Deep-uncertainties-about-SL- projections ,